Race in Ohio: tied or Trump edge?

Two polls, two results in presidential race in Ohio


Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are tied 45-45 in Ohio, according to a new independent poll of likely voters from Quinnipiac University.

A separate poll of likely voters released Monday by CNN shows Trump holding a 4-point lead over Clinton in Ohio, 48-44, which is just outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The CNN poll of likely voters shows 4 percent backing Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent voting for Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

The CNN poll shows voters see Clinton as more capable on foreign policy issues while Trump has the edge on trade, economic and immigration matters. She also scores higher than Trump on temperament, commander-in-chief qualities and values while Trump is rated more honest and trustworthy than Clinton.

Clinton moved into the lead in three other key swing states.

Quinnipiac University found Clinton holds an 8 point lead in Colorado, 6 point lead in Pennsylvania and 4 point edge in Florida. Clinton has double-digit leads among women and non-white voters while Trump has the edge with men and white voters, the poll found. Independents in Ohio, though, have shifted to Clinton, according to the Quinnipiac poll.

“Secretary Clinton has held or increased her lead following the second debate,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, in a written statement. “Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump’s behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column.”

He added that Trump probably can’t win the White House without taking Florida or Pennsylvania and if he loses both “he’s toast.”

Brown said: “Trump’s best hope is a knockout win in the last debate Wednesday evening, his last shot at a national audience. Once the Wednesday debate is over, the last three weeks of the campaign will be fought by competing turnout machines and TV commercials. Many observers believe Clinton has the superior ground game and money edge to dominate the airwaves.”

Clinton and Trump are scheduled to debate Wednesday in Las Vegas — the third and final face-to-face showdown between the two.

“Ohio has been Donald Trump’s best of the major swing states, giving him a five-point lead earlier this month. But here, too, the controversies seem to be taking their toll on the Trump vote. The race in the Buckeye state is a dead heat and the poll’s internals show just how tight the race is there. Trump is leading by 14 points among men; Secretary Clinton up 12 points among women,” Brown said.


Reader Comments ...


Next Up in Local

White supremacists responsible for most extremist killings in 2017, ADL says
White supremacists responsible for most extremist killings in 2017, ADL says

Far-right extremists – particularly white supremacists – were responsible for more than half of the deaths attributed to extremists in the United States last year, according to a report issued this week by the Anti-Defamation League. Twenty of the 34 extremist-related killings in 2017 were carried out by far-right extremists, more than...
Local state House seat drawing lots of candidates for competitive district
Local state House seat drawing lots of candidates for competitive district

The Dayton region’s most competitively balanced Ohio House district is getting plenty of attention with the filing deadline less than three weeks away. Republican Clayton Councilman Kenny Henning on Friday formally announced he is running for the 43rd House District seat, which is split almost 50-50 between Democrats and Republicans. “I...
The CUTEST birthday party of the year features Fiona the Hippo
The CUTEST birthday party of the year features Fiona the Hippo

The Cincinnati Zoo has unveiled how it will celebrate a big birthday for its famous hippo, Fiona, who turns 1 on Jan. 24. The zoo isn’t waiting until then to start the celebration, as the public can attend a huge event from 10 a.m. until 3 p.m. tomorrow (Saturday, Jan. 20). From authors who have penned books on Fiona to caretakers who have watched...
Paralyzed woman: Life ‘a living hell’ without stolen van
Paralyzed woman: Life ‘a living hell’ without stolen van

For the last two weeks, a paralyzed Middletown woman has been without the van that used to drive her to doctor appointments. Shirley English, 77, paralyzed from the waist down after an auto accident in 2007, said her 2003 tan Dodge Caravan was stolen from her residence on Crawford Street earlier this month. English said she allowed a former homeless...
Higher water, sewer rates in effect for Montgomery County customers
Higher water, sewer rates in effect for Montgomery County customers

Customers who receive water and sewer services through Montgomery County can expect to see rate increases reflected in their first bills of the year. The county announced in November that the combined water and sewer rate would go up by about an average of 14 percent this year. Rates will jump another 5.6 percent on average starting in 2019 and each...
More Stories