Race in Ohio: tied or Trump edge?

Two polls, two results in presidential race in Ohio


Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are tied 45-45 in Ohio, according to a new independent poll of likely voters from Quinnipiac University.

A separate poll of likely voters released Monday by CNN shows Trump holding a 4-point lead over Clinton in Ohio, 48-44, which is just outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The CNN poll of likely voters shows 4 percent backing Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent voting for Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

The CNN poll shows voters see Clinton as more capable on foreign policy issues while Trump has the edge on trade, economic and immigration matters. She also scores higher than Trump on temperament, commander-in-chief qualities and values while Trump is rated more honest and trustworthy than Clinton.

Clinton moved into the lead in three other key swing states.

Quinnipiac University found Clinton holds an 8 point lead in Colorado, 6 point lead in Pennsylvania and 4 point edge in Florida. Clinton has double-digit leads among women and non-white voters while Trump has the edge with men and white voters, the poll found. Independents in Ohio, though, have shifted to Clinton, according to the Quinnipiac poll.

“Secretary Clinton has held or increased her lead following the second debate,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, in a written statement. “Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump’s behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column.”

He added that Trump probably can’t win the White House without taking Florida or Pennsylvania and if he loses both “he’s toast.”

Brown said: “Trump’s best hope is a knockout win in the last debate Wednesday evening, his last shot at a national audience. Once the Wednesday debate is over, the last three weeks of the campaign will be fought by competing turnout machines and TV commercials. Many observers believe Clinton has the superior ground game and money edge to dominate the airwaves.”

Clinton and Trump are scheduled to debate Wednesday in Las Vegas — the third and final face-to-face showdown between the two.

“Ohio has been Donald Trump’s best of the major swing states, giving him a five-point lead earlier this month. But here, too, the controversies seem to be taking their toll on the Trump vote. The race in the Buckeye state is a dead heat and the poll’s internals show just how tight the race is there. Trump is leading by 14 points among men; Secretary Clinton up 12 points among women,” Brown said.


Reader Comments ...


Next Up in Local

Daytonian of the Week: Scott Epic 
Daytonian of the Week: Scott Epic 

It’s hard being epic.  It is even harder to catch up with someone who is.  Luckily that wasn’t the case with Scott “Epic” Knisley of Epic Life Fitness, 118 N. Jefferson St., who is this week’s Daytonian of the Week.  The actor, radio personality, podcaster and business owner has tons to say about...
UD’s ‘no hazing’ lady has been protesting for 18 years: ‘I promise you I will not go away’
UD’s ‘no hazing’ lady has been protesting for 18 years: ‘I promise you I will not go away’

Come fall, Elizabeth Thompson will reach a milestone in her one-woman anti-hazing campaign against the University of Dayton: 18 years.  “The students coming in were not born when I started,” Thompson said.  Seventeen and half years have passed since her weekly protests at the UD entrance at Brown and Stewart streets began...
Wacky foods you’ll only find at this year’s Ohio State Fair
Wacky foods you’ll only find at this year’s Ohio State Fair

Things are expected to get weird at state fairs. Clowns, goats and pampered rabbits outnumber those attending, calorie-counting is forgotten, and for an entire week, it’s completely acceptable to smell of barnyard animals. The food fare at the Ohio State Fair is no different. There is no better time to try bizarre foods without judgement. ...
Wright Patt researchers hunt for clues in F-35 stealth fighter issue
Wright Patt researchers hunt for clues in F-35 stealth fighter issue

The Air Force Research Laboratory at Wright-Patterson will hunt for answers to determine if on-board oxygen generation equipment on the nation’s newest multi-million dollar stealth fighter caused pilots to experience a loss of oxygen in flight. Researchers expected to start work today at the 711th Human Performance Wing’s $1.5 million On-Board...
Sunshine today, storms roll in Thursday
Sunshine today, storms roll in Thursday

Mostly sunny skies are expected Wednesday, said Storm Center 7 Meteorologist Brett Collar.  Nice, but warmer Wednesday Showers and storms Thursday into early Friday Clearing out for the weekend TODAY: It will be a very nice day, but a notch warmer with highs in the middle 80s. Some spots may even approach the upper 80s. Increasing clouds...
More Stories