Election Poll: Governor race close, Issue 1 support slipping, Brown leads big


One week before Election Day, the governor’s race is still close between Republican Mike DeWine and Democrat Rich Cordray, support for State Issue 1 is fading and U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown appears to be cruising to a big victory, according to a new poll released Tuesday.

WHAT’S ON YOUR BALLOT? Check out our online voters guide

Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute’s latest survey of likely voters shows DeWine at 39.4 percent and Cordray at 38.8 percent, Libertarian Travis Irvine at 4.1 percent and Green Party candidate Constance Gadell-Newton at 1.9 percent. Nearly 16 percent of Ohio voters say they have yet to decide who they’ll back for governor.

The poll also found Brown has a 20-point lead over Republican challenger Jim Renacci in the Senate race and 17 percent are undecided. Almost 40 percent of voters said they haven’t heard enough about Renacci, a Congressman from Wadsworth.

“The outcome of the gubernatorial race will hinge on turnout and how late deciders break. If history is any guide, Cordray might be able to ride Brown’s coattails to the finish line,” said Lauren Copeland, a political scientist and associate director of the Community Research Institute at Baldwin Wallace.

DeWine is slated to hold a get out the vote rally with Ohio Gov. John Kasich in Columbus on Friday.

President Donald Trump is campaigning for Republicans across the country this week, though no stops in Ohio have been announced. Trump’s approval rating in Ohio is 44.2 percent while 49.7 percent disapprove, according to the poll.

State Issue 1: pollsters found support for the measure slipping compared with three weeks ago when it led by 17 points. The updated data show 43 percent of voters support it, 39.8 percent oppose it and 17.2 percent are undecided about the proposed constitutional amendment.

State Issue 1 would convert low-level drug possession and drug use felonies into misdemeanors with no jail time for the first two offenses; allow certain inmates to get 25 percent of their prison time reduced if they take rehabilitative programs; and plow savings into drug treatment programs. It is opposed by prosecutors and judges, who say it would gut drug courts and lessen penalties for dealers.

In the down ticket statewide races, the poll found:

Secretary of State: Democrat Kathleen Clyde, 39.8 percent; Republican Frank LaRose 33.7 percent; Libertarian Dustin Hanna, 4.7 percent.

Auditor: Democrat Zack Space, 40.2 percent; Republican Keith Faber, 32 percent; Libertarian Robert C. Coogan, 5 percent.

Attorney General: Democrat Steve Dettelbach, 40.2 percent; Republican Dave Yost, 38.9 percent.

Treasurer: Democrat Rob Richardson, 38.8 percent; Republican Robert Sprague, 36 percent.

When asked if voting in the midterm congressional elections is more important to them this year, 73.7 percent of Democrats said yes while 58.7 percent of Republicans said yes.

The poll also found that Ohio voters rank health care, the economy, taxes, education and gun policy as the top issues.

The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percent.

---

GET READY FOR ELECTION DAY
Voters guide online: Compare the other candidates on your ballot using our interactive voters guide on our website

Newsletter: Sign up for our daily Ohio Politics newsletter for the latest on Election 2018 and the news of the day

Twitter: Stay up to date with the latest from the campaign trail on @Ohio_Politics

Facebook: Speak out on the issues and candidates on our Ohio Politics Facebook page



Reader Comments


Next Up in Local

Ex-Maryland pharmacist gets 40 months for trading drugs for sex
Ex-Maryland pharmacist gets 40 months for trading drugs for sex

A former Maryland pharmacist was sentenced Monday to 40 months in jail for filling fraudulent prescriptions for oxycodone in exchange for sexual favors, the The Baltimore Sun reported. >> Read more trending news  Richard Daniel Hiller, 64, of Owings Mills, was also sentenced to three years of supervised release and ordered to pay a...
Sewer work to close Butler County road
Sewer work to close Butler County road

The Butler County engineer announced an extended road closing in Fairfield Twp. beginning next week for sewer construction work. Installation of a new sewer main by the county Water & Sewer Department will require closure of Headgates Road in two phases. The road will close from Dec. 17-20, then work will be on hiatus until Jan. 2 when crews will close...
Clark County Municipal Court cases
Clark County Municipal Court cases

CASES CALLED MONDAY INCLUDED: Eddie Ash, 42, of Chicago, trafficking drugs, innocent, continued, public defender appointed, bond $200,000; possession of drugs, innocent, continued. Tiffany R. Bishop, 36, of 1518 ½ S. Limestone St., criminal damaging, innocent, continued, public defender appointed, bond $1,000; assault, innocent, continued, public...
Kettering school board to discuss building plans tonight
Kettering school board to discuss building plans tonight

Kettering City Schools is considering changes to multiple school facilities after a Nov. 6 levy passage, with the school board scheduled to hear an update at its meeting tonight. When voters approved the 5.99-mill levy last month, Kettering Superintendent Scott Inskeep said it cleared the way for expansion of career tech programs and the addition of...
New Jersey police sing Christmas carols to colleague battling cancer
New Jersey police sing Christmas carols to colleague battling cancer

New Jersey police officers blended their voices together to raise the spirits of a fellow officer battling cancer, News12 New Jersey reported. >> Read more trending news  Julia Caseres, 28, was diagnosed with stage 4 lung cancer in April and has been on leave from the Piscataway Police Department since then. Officers drove to Caseres&rsquo...
More Stories